Consumer sentiment hits lowest level since December as Americans begin feeling war's effects

What: Consumer sentiment has dropped to **88.6** in March 2026, its lowest level since December 2025.
Why: The decline is attributed to rising concerns over the ongoing global conflict and its impact on the US economy.
Signal: This shift in consumer confidence may lead to reduced spending and a potential slowdown in economic growth.
Target: The Federal Reserve is expected to closely monitor the situation, potentially adjusting monetary policies to mitigate the effects.
Risk: A prolonged period of low consumer sentiment could increase the risk of recession, with a **25%** chance of a downturn in the next quarter.